BHP has held the title of the world’s largest miner since merging with Billiton back in 2001.
However, it appears that may soon come to an end.
As falling oil prices, BHP’s South32 demerger and the tailings dam mishap at the company’s jointly owned Samarco operations in Brazil has led to Rio Tinto beginning to close the gap between the two. This is the closest the two have been to each other since 2003, as Rio has caught up significantly since the middle of 2014.
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Rio Tinto’s ability to slim down its debt under managing director Sam Walsh the past three years has helped the company outperform BHP despite sliding iron ore prices. Last week, Walsh stated Rio’s June-half underlying profit performance of US$9.2 billion made it the most profitable miner in the world — ahead of BHP’s US$1.8 billion during the six-month period — for the first time since the merger.
In addition, BHP’s shares closed at a new 10-year low of $17.93 last week, while Rio closed at a six-year low of $44.38 despite being down 24 per cent this year.
Meanwhile, JPMorgan and Commonwealth Bank each have target prices predicting Rio’s market value will surpass BHP. JPMorgan has a BHP target price of $18, representing a market value of $92 billion, while Rio shows a market value of $107 billion.
Although Rio Tinto may close the gap even further, most still believe BHP will remain the world’s biggest miner. However, Rio may be a better value according to financial analysts.
“Rio remains our preferred diversified miner as the market capitalisation and enterprise value discount to BHP remains, despite Rio generating higher earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization and net profit than BHP,” said Citi analyst Clarke Wilkins.
Source: The Australian